November 28, 2022

519 Magazine

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Cooperstown candidates “under the radar”

New big names (David Ortiz, Alex Rodriguez) and many more face their last chance (Barry Ponds, Roger Clemens, Kurt Schilling) on ​​this year’s Hall of Fame ballot. But there are other players to focus on. analysts have selected seven Hall of Fame candidates who can fly under the radar on the 2022 ballot – either because they are in the first year of qualification or because they received the lowest percentage of votes in previous years. .

They all deserve a glance. Here, the argument in favor of everyone

Bob Abrew
Voting Year: Third (8.7% in 2021)
Key Fact: OBP’s .395

Venezuela are the most valuable type of players today. He was only invited to the All-Star Game twice and once made it into the top 15 in the MVP poll. Even within that, it seems to be slightly underestimated; He had 14 seasons with eight RBIs of 100 RBIs or more and more than 10 thefts, with a .291 career batting average. Nor does it measure up to “regular statistics”.

But what Abru really understood best was the ability to reach sites. Araguaans traded 100 or more tickets in eight seasons. He proved his mettle at the Home Run Festival he won in 2005 and set his sights on making it into the top 10 in the OBP between 1998-2006. In addition, he stole five sites during that period. Compare your life with Tony Quinn, who received 98% of the vote in the first year on the ballot.

Abrew: 2,425 games, .395 OBP, .459 SLG, 288 HR, 128 OPS +, 400 SB
Quinn: 2,440 games, .388 OBP, .475 SLG, 135 HR, 132 OPS +, 319 SB

The real problem is that it is underestimated for its duration, and the level of personal praise is low. But keep in mind: there are only six players in history with at least 250 home runs and 400 stolen bases. There are three people in the Hall of Fame (Ricky Henderson, Joe Morgan and Craig Piccio). Barry Ponds, his father and the other three Venezuelans.

Ryan Howard
Year on the ballot: First
Key Fact: Two BBWAA Awards (2005 Best Rookie of the Year and 2006 MVP)

According to Howard, his first call was in 2004 until 2011. During that time, he split .560 and 286 home runs in 1,027 games. In addition, he was invited to the All-Star Game three times and won the Silver Bat and received MVP votes each season between 2006 and 2011.

According to the baseball-note, his battle at 19.5 at that 1,000-game interval did not stand alone. Part of it was due to his safety, which gave him the -9.8 negative dWAR in that extension.

Of course, we already know what happened next. Howard tore his Achilles in the 5th game of the 2011 National League Division Series, which accelerated Gunner’s fall.

Tim Hudson
Voting Year: Second (5.2% in 2021)
Key Fact: 120 from ERA +

In the early 2000s, Hudson was a member of Auckland’s fantastic cycle with Barry Jitto and Mark Mulder. In the trio, Hudson finished his career with a career-best 222-133 and 3.49 ERA in 3,126.2 innings between the Braves and the Giants, with whom he won the 2014 World Series.

He received only 21 votes in the first year he qualified. One less thing, it’s not on the ballot. Its fate is uncertain, but there are good reasons for it to continue.

Hudson did not hit an impressive number and was never considered the best pitcher in the league, but what he has achieved in his 17-season career is historically good. The Singer Specialist had eight seasons with 200 or more innings, including five where he scored 220 runs, EFE + 125 or higher. He was at least 3,000 innings in the Live Ball era (since 1920) and 18 ERA + 120 or 18 per mount. Only five of them are not in the Hall of Fame: Clemens, Shilling, Kevin Brown, Chuck Greenkey (still active) and Hudson.

Tim Lynsek
Year on the ballot: First
Key Fact: Three World Series titles, two Sai Young Awards, two no-hitters

Linsek’s grounds for the Hall of Fame are various achievements in his career – trophies, accolades and achievements he has made in the Majors. He helped the Giants win three Fall Classics during the San Francisco Dynasty in early 2010. He has won two consecutive Sai Young Awards. He threw two no-hitters. Three more strikeout titles. He was invited to four All-Star Games. Here’s a funny fact: there are only two pitchers with so many World Series hoops, so many Youngs and so many no-hitters – Tim Lynsek and Sandy Koofox.

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Joe Nathan
Year on the ballot: First
Key Fact: 30.6 Business Overall Success Probability (WPA)

There are at least two requirements for Nathan to consider: 1) more reliefs may need to be added to the Blade Gallery in Cooperstown (there are eight, interesting candidates like Kenley Johnson and Craig Kimble will be on the ballot in 2030), and 2) some believe Billy Wagner deserves to be in the Hall of Fame.

Wagner still has four years on the ballot, and BBWAA voters are almost 50/50 split based on his eligibility. For those who think Wagner should perish, consider Nathan as well. Wagner was a close ally who dominated his strikes, but notice how similar the two were in several key figures (according to Baseball):

Wagner: 422 Salvatos, 27.8 war, 29.1 WPA, 1.00 WHIP
Nathan: 377 Salvatos, 26.4 war, 30.6 WPA, 1.10 WHIP

The WPA statistic takes into account circumstantial factors such as innings, scoring and play-based running backs, which is an important metric for shooters who are always under pressure.

Like Wagner, Nathan does not have the best record of getting close to the Hall of Fame, but he does not have the already immortal Trevor Hoffman and Lee Smith. For those who believe Wagner should be in the room, Nathan deserves another detailed analysis.

Andy Pettitte
Polling Year: Fourth (13.7% in 2021)
Key Fact: 19 Career Successes (All Time Achievement)

Let’s talk about the obvious: Petit added to the 2007 Mitchell report, which acknowledged the use of human growth hormone in 2002 to recover from an elbow injury, before it was finally banned. Some will consider him disqualified; But I am not.

Now the boxing argument. I agree that this is not very obvious. The left-handed player has only been called up to three All-Star Games, never to win the Psi Young, leading his league in a major division except for the start (1996 wins) and recording 3.85 eras in his career. Hall of Fame below Jack Morris.

But let’s talk about the latter season. Apparently, Betty wanted to pitch in the era of playoff expansion, primarily because the Yankees teams play almost every year in October. But it is noteworthy that he maintained his best performance against opponents last season (3.81 ERA), while his overall chances of winning the playoffs are below that of Panamanian Mariano Rivera, Shilling and John Smalts. If Petite thinks he is the candidate on the edge of his numbers in the regular season, it will lead him to the election.

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Mark Dixiera
Year on the ballot: First
Key Fact: 409 carrier home runs

Deexeera was on track to make a good case for being in Cooperstown – at 32, he was a career.904 OPS and 314 home runs scored. He was the first paceman to wear four gold gloves and a World Series ring with the Yankees in 2009. But then injuries began to plague him – he had never played more than 123 games in a season in his entire life. He lost it all in 2013. So it is almost clear why Dexira’s Hall’s arguments are not explicit.

Anyway, it attracts attention. Deeksira was one of 14 players to score an unbeaten .500 (.509) and over 400 (409) at Cooperstown. Of the remaining 13, 11 have hidden their respective nominations for the Hall of Fame and have been linked to banned substances. The other two who have nothing to do with Dixiera and performance-enhancing products are Puerto Rican Carlos Delcado and Fred McGriff, who have argued that they should not perish even if they are not on the BBWAA ballot.

According to Jay Jaffe’s JAWS system (which averages a player’s BWAR from seven-year highs to Total War), Teixeira’s 44.3 puts him ahead of Puerto Rican Orlando “Peruchín” Cepeda, Frank Chance and newly selected Gil Hodges.

Let’s make a comparison between Dixiera and Hodges, the latter being selected by the Golden Age group:

Hodges: 2,071 bartenders, 120 OPS +, 370 HR, 43.9 bWAR
Texira: 1,862 bartenders, 126 OPS +, 409 HR, 50.6 bWAR

As you can see, it’s hard to justify choosing Dixiera, but it’s hard to justify choosing Dixiera – both are powerful first base players limited to diseases later in their careers, but they have the number to be immortalized in Cooperstown.